McGraw-Hill建设/ENR新利18备用
建筑行业的信心指数连续第六季度上升,行业高管认为,至少在2016年初,市场将继续稳定增长

The industry is now in a period of steady growth. While many firms are disappointed the recovery from the recession was not faster, most believe the current growth rate will continue at least through the beginning of 2016. But with the growth on the top line, many firms worry about the bottom line.

第三季度新利18备用的ENR建筑业信心指数调查显示,在对调查作出回应的大型建筑和设计公司的357名高管中,绝大多数人认为市场稳定或增长。在第三季度调查中,CICI指数在100范围内占据了77分,这是增长市场的指标。

CICI衡量了有关当前市场的行政情绪,并反映了受访者对未来三到六个月以及12到18个月以上的观点。该指数是基于对ENR领先承包商,分包商和设计公司的ENR清单中向6,000多家美国公司发出的调查的回应。新利18备用最新结果基于9月4日至22日进行的调查。

在第六季度,经过调查的行业高管认为,CICI衡量的所有市场部门现在都处于增长模式。该指数稳步上升,因为公司认为市场继续下降的公司的百分比已缩小到单位数字。

While survey respondents generally believe the overall market will continue to pick up steam over the next 18 months, many believe the market will begin to level off in three years. This quarter, 58% say the current market is growing. When asked their opinion on what the market will look like in three years' time, only 45% of the execs polled thought the market would still be growing.

对于CICI调查,要求高管评估一般和未来的市场前景,以及目前工作的15个市场领域中的任何一个。在个别市场领域中,石油市场排名为第五季度的最高收视率,CICI评级为79。

The second-highest-rated market, multi-unit residential, is showing surprising strength at 75, up one point from the second quarter. Many execs believe this robust market will begin to falter in the next year to 18 months.

Confidence in the infrastructure markets rebounded in this quarter. Transportation was up four points, to 64, and the water-and-sewer sector rose six points, to 66. Several execs said government funding of infrastructure will become more stable and begin to rise after the November elections.

首席财务官担心底线

新泽西州普林斯顿建筑金融管理协会最新的Confindex调查的即将发布的结果表明,人们对承包商的业务基础知识越来越担心。CFMA对总承包商,分包商和民事承包商的200 CFO进行了调查。

While a Confindex rating of 100 indicates a stable market, higher ratings show growth is expected. "Our Confindex fell by two points, to 127 [on a scale of 200], for the third quarter," says Stuart Binstock, CEO of CFMA.

宾斯托克(Binstock)指出,CFMA调查的“整体业务状况”和“年度前景”组成部分下降了最多,分别降至143和130分。他说:“ ConfIndex的一部分下降是,从经济衰退中恢复并不像我们的成员预期的那样强大。”

The drop in confidence in the CFMA Confindex contrasts with the growing confidence in ENR's CICI index. However, part of the reason for the divergence is that the indices look at the market from slightly different perspectives.

"The overall market has been growing, raising the top line. However, our members are becoming increasingly worried about the issues that come with a growing market: inflation and skills shortages, which raise operating costs that directly affect the bottom line," says Anirban Basu, CEO of economic consultant Sage Policy Group Inc., Baltimore, and CFMA economic adviser.

Binstock指出,Confindex调查参与者认为,成本上升的前景如何如何看待:“我们担心熟新利18备用官网登录练工人短缺的成员人数从上个季度的62%上升到本季度的72%。,CFO显然担心人工成本不断减少。”新利18备用官网登录

巴苏说,较大的建筑公司可以更好地应付工人短缺。巴苏说,公司越来越多地转向技术和流程,以促进效率以弥补越来越多的申请人池。他说:“问题在于技术和培训很昂贵,大公司可以更好地吸收技术所需的最初支出。”

CICI调查还询问了过去六个月中公司获得营运资金的机会是否发生变化:24.5%的人表示,金融机构对运营资本的贷款更加开放,只有5.8%的人表示他们更加艰难。

Financial institutions also continue to provide project financing. In this quarter, 39.7% of CICI respondents said credit for project financing was easier to obtain than six months ago, up from 33.9% last quarter. However, only 4.9% said they saw any tightening in project financing.