随着美国总统大选不到两个月,建筑行业就市场采取了等待的态度。许多顶级建筑主管认为,市场将保持持有模式,直到选举结果进来,而新政府的支出和监管优先事项以及经济方向变得明确。

The most recent ENR Construction Industry Confidence Index survey shows the industry's uncertainty. The second-quarter 2012 CICI fell six points from the first quarter to 50 on a scale of 100, which represents a flat market. The 378 executives of large construction and design firms responding to the survey believe the market will not begin to show signs of growth until the end of 2013.

CICI衡量了有关当前市场的行政情绪,并反映了他们对未来三到六个月以及12到18个月以上的观点。该指数基于对ENR领先承包商,分包商和设计公司的ENR清单中向3,000多家美国公司发送的调查的回应。新利18备用最新结果基于8月28日至9月10日进行的调查。

CICI还衡量了关于美国经济的情绪,这是未来建设趋势的主要指标。在第二季度,对美国经济的信心下降至上一季度的55个CICI评级。在2012年第一季度,它的身高64岁,暗示经济的重大恢复未实现。

对许多行业execs, the election cannot happen too soon. "We need to get this behind us so that the uncertainty ends," says one large subcontractor.

至于目前的市场,有32%的行业高管认为它仍在下降,而只有17%的人认为它正在增长。只有25%的人认为市场将在未来六个月内增长,而同等数量的市场认为它仍然会下降。但是,有51%的人认为,到2013年底,市场将在上升,而只有8%的受访者认为该市场将在12到18个月内继续下降。

CFMA成员悲观

The CICI findings parallel the soon-to-be-released results of the latest Confindex survey from the Construction Financial Management Association, Princeton, N.J. CFMA polls 200 CFOs from general contractors, subcontractors and civil contractors. While a Confindex rating of 100 indicates a stable market, higher ratings show growth is expected.

CFMA首席执行官斯图尔特·宾斯托克(Stuart Binstock)说:“我们的Confindex从124下降到116 [比例为200]。”在2012年第一季度,Confindex命中131。他指出,构成ConfIndex的所有四个组件都下降了。

"There was no good news in this quarter's results. It was a clean sweep of declines," says Binstock. He says part of this pessimism may stem from the makeup of CFMA's members, noting that its members are mostly CFOs who deal in hard numbers and facts and dislike uncertainty. "And there is a lot of uncertainty in the immediate future," he says.