鉴于建筑业是一个尾随的经济指标,行业高管敏锐地意识到了美国经济状况。随着最近充满忧郁的新闻,从始终高的失业率到华盛顿的僵局,因为提高了债务上限,行业对经济的信心使人们对建筑市场将很快随时恢复。

最新的ENR建筑行业信心指数调查反映了对市场的近期未来的这种黯淡的看法。新利18备用For the third quarter of 2011, the CICI plummeted to 37 on a scale of 100, down nine points from 46 in the last quarter and down 14 points from the first quarter, when the rating stood at 51, an indicator of a stable market. This slide brings the CICI far below 50, indicating the belief that the market still is in recession. The 664 executives of large construction and design firms responding to the survey believe the market still has a way to go before recovery takes hold.

The CICI measures executive sentiment regarding the current market as well as their projections for where it will be in the next three to six months and over a 12- to 18-month period. The index is based on responses to surveys sent to more than 3,000 U.S. firms on ENR's lists of the leading contractors, subcontractors and design firms. The survey was conducted from Aug. 29 to Sept. 12.

The CICI also measures executive sentiment about the overall U.S. economy as a leading indicator of future construction markets. In the first-quarter survey, respondents were confident enough that the U.S. economy was on the right track to give it a 71 rating on a scale of 100, a strong vote of confidence. By the second quarter's survey, that rating had dropped to 53, indicating a belief that the economy was stable but not growing. In this quarter's survey, the rating now stands at 38, showing that respondents now believe the economy will get worse before it gets better.

This pessimism is reflected in the responses about prospects in the construction market as a whole. This quarter, 52% of all respondents say the market continues to decline, up from 38% in last quarter's survey and 32% in the fourth quarter of 2010. Only 9% believe the market currently is improving.

悲观主义从现在起的三个月至六个月延长,因为只有13%的受访者认为市场将在2012年初之前改善。这与42%的人认为它仍然会下降。受访者对2012年的市场反弹更有信心,其中36%的人说市场将在12到18个月内增长,而只有13%的市场预计它将继续下降。

CFMA Index Unchanged

CICI前景与即将发布的Constindex最新调查的结果相反,建筑金融管理协会,新泽西州普林斯顿州CFMA COFMA Polls 200的200名首席金融官来自总承包商,分包商和重型和民事承包商。ConfIndex评级为100的200表示稳定的市场,较高的评级表明对市场增长的期望。

“Our CONFINDEX was unchanged at 111 from the second quarter,” says Stuart Binstock, CEO of CFMA. However, the CONFINDEX stood at 131 in the first quarter of 2011.

The CONFINDEX is broken down into four indices. The index measuring current business conditions dropped to 114 from 126. The index on financial conditions covering credit availability rose to 107 from 96, and the index measuring current market conditions rose to 105 from 96. CFMA's CFO participants rated the overall business outlook at 117, down from 126 in the second quarter and 141 in the first quarter.