Overall construction starts are expected to be flat in 2023, following a 17% increase in 2022, Richard Branch, chief economist at Dodge Construction Network, said during the 2023 Dodge Construction Outlook. Branch presented the outlook on Nov. 15, noting that the forecast assumes the U.S. will narrowly avoid recession.

他说：“我们在这里走剃须刀的边缘。”

2022年的增长将使总开业达到10.86亿美元，但预计2023年的10.83亿美元。

Rising interest rates have weakened the residential market, with single-family housing, measured in number of units, expected to decline 12% by the end of this year. Dodge predicts a decline of 6% to follow in 2023. In the multi-family sector, starts are expected to finish the year up 16%, but will drop 9% next year.

Dodge forecasts that the dollar value of commercial construction—which includes warehouses, offices, retail and hotels—will finish 2022r up 24% before dropping 3% in 2023. Retail is up 31% in 2022, which Branch attributes to increased single-family building in suburban areas in the last several years. Just as residential construction slowed, he says retail will also, with Dodge predicting just a 4% increase next year.

在大流行期间有两年的下降后，办公室建设的美元价值预计到2022年底将增长23％，然后在2023年以1％的速度略有下降。在过去的一年中，远程工作仍然很普遍，尤其是在劳动力市场紧张的情况下，该分支机构正在推动来年的办公室建设。

制造业在2022年飙升，增长了196％。分支机构将其归因于“发电”，因为公司将工厂带回美国，尤其是根据《新美国通货膨胀法》激励的芯片制造设施。

While a 43% drop is expected in 2023, "that is still historically a very strong record level of activity," Branch said, at a rate of $51.2 billion.

预计今年的机构开始将增长22％，医疗保健和教育分别增长23％和8％。运输增长了110％，主要是由于纽约市约翰·肯尼迪机场的翻新，预计明年将下降36％。总体而言，预计在2023年的机构起步将保持平坦。非建设的总开端增长了19％，明年预计会增加16％。