从伦敦的全球建筑观点审查112个市场,全球建设从最严重的辐射中反弹出来后,全球建设将实际上每年增长2.3%,达到16.6万亿美元。10个最快的增长中,有4个将在亚洲,只有缅甸和日本面临下降的产出,而5个在非洲,其中1个在中东。

GCP estimates total construction output to have risen in real terms by 4.1% in 2021 to $13.2 trillion after dipping by 0.1% during the pandemic’s first year in 2020. While most markets are recovering from COVID-19, the forecasters report 27 of the sample countries still struggling to catch up, with volumes in 2022 expected to be lower than in 2019.

"The impact of COVID has been far from equal," notes GCP director Mike Betts. "In most countries it's been negative but in some it's been positive as working from home has encouraged people to invest more in their homes." Betts expects pandemic impacts to "be unwound" from next year, when the markets will return to normal trajectories.

GCP基地对经济的预测omic projections by the International Monetary Fund and ON U.S. Central Intelligence Agency data related to country public debt. It also uses population change data from the United Nations and per-capita cement consumption as indicators of each country's position in its construction cycle.

预测表明,到2030年,中国对全球建筑市场的统治预计将降至2021年降至2021年,占总数的32.6%。

Over the same period, the world's second largest market, the U.S., is set to hold its current share of about 13%. With sluggish prospects, Japan is expected to move from third to fourth place while India's global share increase of 2.1% will move it into third place. The next largest markets all have global share under 3%, led by Germany.

从2023年开始,当假定大流行作用消散时,到2030年增长最快的市场(年龄超过8%)是黎巴嫩,缅甸,缅甸,埃塞俄比亚,刚果民主共和国,刚果,坦桑尼亚和孟加拉国。在同一时期,日本是唯一一个预测每年为-0.5%的负面增长的国家。

预计将在中国,美国,印度和印度尼西亚预计将发生31万亿美元的全球建设增长预测中的近一半。同样重要的是较小但更快的市场,每年最多8%,包括孟加拉国,伊朗,尼日利亚和菲律宾。

About 75% of last year's world construction took place in nine developed countries and three emerging markets.

中国,美国和日本共同占全球产出的50%以上,印度排名第四。