从2020年上半年的低点开始,全球建筑行业已经进入了其共同的19恢复,因为大流行关闭了建筑工地和经济体急剧收缩。该行业正在恢复,发达和发展中国家以不同的速度这样做。

从5月到7月,英国的建筑产量下降了近11%,然后开始反弹。Currie&Brown伦敦办事处的高级主管理查德·希尔(Richard Hill)表示,尽管该行业正在恢复,但需要社会疏远措施的健康和安全法规会影响生产力,而网站的运行效率通常不超过80%。

英国脱欧的潜在后果也在背景中持续下去,因为英国准备在今年年底离开欧盟而没有全面的自由贸易协议。希尔预计建筑招标价格将在2020年下跌,这是直接的结果。


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新利18备用ENER 2020 3Q成本报告



欧洲刺激计划

Mainland Europe construction activity dropped by an average of 15% through 2020, with tender prices falling slightly through the year. Construction firms and governments throughout the continent are struggling with how to assign responsibility and cover added costs caused by the loss in productivity through 2020. “Due to the rather long business cycles, the impact on companies’ order books will be delayed over the next six to 12 months,” says Gaelle Damilleville, C&B marketing manager in Paris. “The European construction market is expected to see the true impact of COVID-19 in early 2021.”

预计在2021年和2022年英国,招标价格将开始上涨,随着政府制定一项计划以摆脱大流行诱发的衰退,住宅,基础设施,医疗保健,教育和技术建设部门引领了这一路。欧洲大陆的政府重建和刺激计划也将有助于行业反弹。C&B将监视整个非洲大陆小型技术承包商网络的破产,因为高水平的业务失败可能会使这种反弹处于危险之中。

在大流行之前,我们预计建设costs in Japan to rise a dramatic 11% in 2020. Rob Fuller, C&B managing director in Tokyo, however, reports just a small construction cost drop for the year. Although the industry continues to battle a shortage in skilled construction workers, he anticipates inflation remaining relatively flat into 2021. Activity and costs in Japan are expected to begin to rise again, looking forward to 2021, albeit at a slower pace than was predicted at the beginning of the year.

大多数同事都指出,其地区发展中国家的建设正在努力恢复。当我比较美国和墨西哥的建设支出和就业时,我看到了类似的趋势。后者的建筑支出在三月份急剧下降,仍然是多年来最低的。


Struggles Continue

在大流行之前,墨西哥建筑行业预计2020年的建筑支出将增长约1%。该小组现在预计记录收缩为10%。

C&B预计,当前的趋势将持续到2021年,建筑支出和成本在发展中国家仍在柔和,并且在发达国家开始上升。新利18备用官网登录全球行业将面临紧张的供应链,这将对投入成本施加压力,由于健康法规和2021年的疏远要求,生产力挑战增加。新利18备用官网登录

中东建筑部门不仅面对冠状病毒,而且还面临着与资本项目支出密切相关的石油成本。阿联酋C&B董事总经理道格·麦吉利夫雷(Doug McGillivray)报告说,到5月,每桶40美元的石油价格和病毒的影响加在一起,导致中东/北非地区的建设支出下降了约20%。

C&B anticipates that construction in Abu Dhabi and Saudi Arabia will lead regional recovery efforts in 2021, with construction costs increasing between 1% and 1.5% over the next 12 months.

While the international construction industry has faced challenges over the past nine months, C&B expects to see it regain some of its prepandemic momentum throughout 2021.