在ENR进行建筑行业信心指数调查的九个季度中,该国最大的建筑和设计公司的高管看到了隧道尽头的新利18备用光线。

行业对短期,长期市场明显乐观

Industry Optimism Finally Improves
在过去的两年半中,对建筑业看似无限的乐观情绪得到了深刻的考验。在美国每个地区几乎每个市场的市场衰退都使该行业陷入了困境,该行业已经使项目和机会枯竭了,企业大大小小地跌倒了。新利18备用网址。恢复的咒语是“等到明年”。
但是,根据最新的ENR建筑行业信心指数调查,在这种忧郁之中,该行业开始出现一种新的希望感。新利18备用2011年第一季度第一季度的CICI从上一季度开始急剧上升至51个,比例为100。这种上升是自ENR于2009年3月开始衡量行业情绪以来CICI超过50以上的行业情绪的第新利18备用一次,这表明市场稳定。对调查的大型建筑和设计公司的679名高管认为,市场已经触底,恢复将于今年开始。

What is the CICI?
CICI衡量了有关当前市场的行政情绪和未来三到六个月以及12到18个月的预测的预测。该指数基于对ENR领先承包商,分包商和设计公司的ENR清单中向3,000多家美国公司发送的调查的回应。新利18备用最新结果基于2月28日至3月14日进行的调查。

越来越多的公司预期的市场反弹
本季度,32%的受访者说,马克t continues to decline, down from 45% in last quarter’s survey and 63% in the third quarter of 2010. However, respondents who believe the markets will be improving three to six months from now outnumber those who believe market declines will continue by a 25% to 21% margin.

受访者对2012年的市场反弹非常有信心,其中有59%的人说该市场将在12到18个月内有所改善,而只有8%的市场认为它将继续下降。

受访者将CICI公式应用于个别市场部门,但虽然私营部门市场仍然迟钝,但经济衰退可能正在降低。许多参与者评论说,项目融资仍然是一个问题,但是大多数开发人员资助的部门的CICI都在增加。例如,在CICI量表上,商业办公室仍然是最低的行业,从29岁升至37。

Sectors With Improved CICI Ranking
The strongest markets were in the power sector (a CICI rating of 71), and the industrial and manufacturing sector (66). Other building sectors with improved rankings include:

  • 零售(42)
  • Hospitals and heath care (67)
  • 分销和仓库(47)
  • Hotels and hospitality (46)
  • 娱乐(44)
  • 多单元住宅(55)

多单元的住宅排名特别值得注意,因为这是自CICI调查于2009年开始以来,该行业首次在积极的领域中排名。

私人融资正在改善,但公共资金被认为是有问题的
The growing feeling that the slide in the privately financed project market may be easing suggests the credit crunch may be ending. While 27.6% of respondents said they believed client access to credit continues to be a problem, 51.8% said the availability of credit has stabilized, albeit at a low level, and 20.7% said credit restrictions are beginning to ease.

另一方面,某些建筑市场非常依赖于公共资金,以CICI规模降低。K-12教育部门下降了45分,而高等教育也下降到54。基础设施市场也以CICI量表下降,运输运输量下降了2分,至48分,水和下水道下降了2至55。
This drop in confidence is evidence of state and local government budget deficits around the country. Many respondents say state and local agency budget deficits have affected project starts, with 35.2% saying that publicly funded project starts were off by up to 10%; meanwhile, 24.3% said publicly funded project starts were off by more than 10%. Only 8.7% say that public projects starts were up during the last six months.

更大的信心增强了招聘
A major bright spot revealed by the survey is that 37% of the firms indicated that they plan to add to staff in 2011, while only 16.1% say that they are contemplating additional staff reductions. This is a major change from the previous three years, which has seen construction layoffs result in an industry-wide unemployment rate of over 20%.
The survey also asked what qualities or experience firms were looking for in new hires:

  • 70家公司提到了建立信息建模的经验。
  • 60家公司提到了估计技能。
  • 59家公司引用了项目管理经验。
  • Experience with green building techniques and LEED compliance was mentioned by nearly 50 firms.

材料价格
Materials prices also are a concern to the CICI survey respondents. This quarter, 80.3% of respondents said they saw some price pressure on materials and equipment. Of the 439 executives that said specific materials were on the rise, steel was mentioned by 242, while copper was mentioned 159 times. Fuel and petroleum products were mentioned by nearly 150 survey participants